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Risk Center

The side of a signal that decides whether it should be taken at all.

Trust Risk Validation Data sources Risk disclosure Docs

Read this first

The calculator below is an arithmetic teaching tool. It shows how position size follows from a stop distance — nothing more. It does not know your finances, it is not a recommendation, and it is not personalised financial advice. Crypto can move further and faster than any stop assumes.

Position size from stop distance

The only input that should decide size is how much you lose if the stop is hit.

Most risk frameworks keep this at or below 1–2%.

What each risk reading means

ATR (Average True Range)Typical distance price travels in one bar. A stop tighter than ATR is likely to be hit by ordinary noise rather than by being wrong.
Volatility regimeWhether current movement is calm, normal or extreme relative to its own recent history. Extreme volatility widens every outcome, good and bad.
Liquidity gradeHow much size the order book can absorb. Thin books mean the price you see is not the price you get.
SpreadThe gap between best bid and best ask. It is a cost you pay on entry and again on exit, before any move in your favour.
CVaR (Expected Shortfall)The average loss in the worst tail of outcomes — not the typical loss, the bad ones.
Market regimeTrending, ranging or shocked. A method that works in one regime routinely fails in another.
Data qualityIf a feed is stale or exchanges disagree, the engine returns WAIT rather than a confident call on unreliable input.
R and R:R1R is the distance from entry to stop. A 2R target means you stand to gain twice what you risk — it says nothing about how often you win.

Why WAIT is a result, not a failure

A system that produces a direction on every candle is not measuring anything. Our engine returns WAIT when the evidence does not clear its thresholds — and it names the reason: conflicting timeframes, weak liquidity, a volatility spike, stale data, cross-exchange disagreement, or an expected move smaller than trading costs.

Expect a large share of WAIT results. That is the design working, not the engine being unhelpful.

Full risk disclosure →